Scout
Game 2 prep: the last game, then N Colorado. Data through FDU.
Post-game reports1 game
Texas 85 FDU 65
The game in four factors
| ShootingeFG% | Turnoversper poss. | Off. reboundsof own misses | Free throwsFTA per shot | Pointsper poss. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 49% | 13% | 48% | 0.19 | 1.20 |
| FDU | 57% | 25% | 23% | 0.13 | 0.92 |
Garbage time started 30 minutes in. Before that, over 56 possessions, Texas scored 1.18 points per possession and allowed 0.75.
Next: scouting N Colorado
Sat, Nov 7, 7 PM CT, Moody Center. Their season so far and last season, set against what Texas has done. Small samples are labeled.
Keys for Texas
Win the glass.
Northern Colorado grabbed 38.7% of its own misses last season, one of its real strengths. Texas allowed Fairleigh Dickinson 23% in the opener and opponents 27% last season. Target: Northern Colorado offensive rebound rate under 30%.
Make them handle it.
Northern Colorado turned it over on 24.5% of its possessions last season. Texas forced turnovers on 25% of Fairleigh Dickinson's possessions and on 30% of opponents' last season. Target: Northern Colorado turnovers per possession of at least 25%.
Close out on the arc.
Fairleigh Dickinson made 10 of 20 threes in the opener. Northern Colorado took 35% of its shots from three last season and made 29.9%. Target: Northern Colorado 3-point % under 33%.
By the numbers
Texas has played one game and N Colorado one, so this season's columns are first looks. With 4 of 11 players back, last season's N Colorado numbers describe a different roster; read them as the program's habits, not this team's.
When Texas has the ball
| Measure | Texas offensethis season | N Colorado defensethis season | N Colorado defenselast season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per possession | 1.20 | 0.89 | 0.83 |
| Effective FG% | 48.7% | 50.7% | 44.3% |
| Turnovers per possession | 12.7% | 21.2% | 26.0% |
| Offensive rebound rate | 47.6% | 31.8% | 31.7% |
| FT attempts per shot | 0.19 | 0.08 | 0.30 |
| 3-point % | 41.7% | 38.5% | 28.6% |
When N Colorado has the ball
| Measure | N Colorado offensethis season | N Colorado offenselast season | Texas defensethis season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points per possession | 1.23 | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| Effective FG% | 65.2% | 47.2% | 57.4% |
| Turnovers per possession | 24.1% | 24.5% | 25.4% |
| Offensive rebound rate | 55.2% | 38.7% | 23.3% |
| FT attempts per shot | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.13 |
| 3-point % | 44.4% | 29.9% | 50.0% |
Where N Colorado shoots
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Share of shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 364-595 | 61% | 30% |
| Short mid | 211-535 | 39% | 27% |
| Long mid | 47-155 | 30% | 8% |
| Corner 3 | 34-113 | 30% | 6% |
| Above-break 3 | 174-582 | 30% | 29% |
The table is last season: 1,980 shots over 34 games. The map is this season's opener.
Players to know
Everyone who played at least a few minutes in the opener, by minutes. Last season's line is only for players who were on N Colorado's roster then.
| Player | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | Reb | Ast | TO | Last season at N Colorado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum West Starter | 35 | 23 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 34 games (34 starts), 26.6 min, 11.2 pts, 9.1 reb, 64% TS, 0-1 from three |
| Heather Baymon Starter | 30 | 30 | 10-16 | 8-14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 34 games (0 starts), 25.3 min, 11.6 pts, 2.8 reb, 49% TS, 71-210 from three |
| Neenah George Starter | 25 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 34 games (34 starts), 29.6 min, 12.8 pts, 3 reb, 49% TS, 30-103 from three |
| Lilah Moore | 24 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 games (0 starts), 13.4 min, 2 pts, 1.3 reb, 52% TS, 11-30 from three |
| Alex Pirog | 23 | 10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | New this season |
| Da'Nae Jefferson | 18 | 9 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | New this season |
| Mia Galbraith Starter | 17 | 14 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | New this season |
| Ericka Huggins Starter | 11 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | New this season |
| Averie Varhaug | 6 | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | New this season |
Team trends
Game by game, on both ends. Trend lines start after game three: one game is a result, not a trend.
Trend lines start after game three
That is S Dakota St on Wed, Nov 11. Until then, here is every game so far, on both ends.
Game log
Full game. "Competitive" leaves out garbage time.
| Game | Result | Poss. | Pts/poss. | Allowed | Competitivepts/poss., for–against | eFG% | Opp eFG% | TO% | Opp TO% | Off. reb | Opp off. reb | FTA/shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 4 vs FDU | W 85-65 | 71 | 1.20 | 0.92 | 1.18–0.75 (56) | 49% | 57% | 13% | 25% | 48% | 23% | 0.19 |
Minutes so far
Who is playing, from the box score. Rotations settle over the first few weeks; this is where they start.
| Player | FDU | Total |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Booker | 32S | 32 |
| Breya Cunningham | 29S | 29 |
| Jayda Clark | 26S | 26 |
| Bryanna Preston | 24S | 24 |
| Isi Etute | 24 | 24 |
| Addison Bjorn | 21 | 21 |
| Zya Vann | 21S | 21 |
| Lizzy Spaight | 12 | 12 |
| Grace Prenter | 6 | 6 |
| Lovisa Asbrink Hose | 4 | 4 |
| Amalia Holguin | 1 | 1 |
S started.
Shot Lab
Every shot, placed where it was taken. Switch to Defense to see what Texas allowed. Tap a shot for the details.
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts/shot | Share of shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 13-25 | 52% | 1.04 | 33% |
| Short mid | 6-17 | 35% | 0.71 | 23% |
| Long mid | 10-21 | 48% | 0.95 | 28% |
| Corner 3 | 0-3 | 0% | 0.00 | 4% |
| Above-break 3 | 5-9 | 56% | 1.67 | 12% |
Points per shot counts field goals only. Rim is under 4 feet, short midrange 4 to 14 feet, long midrange 14 feet to the arc.
Before Texas: where the newcomers shot last season
The transfers and returners who played last season, rebuilt from every game their team played. Totals match each player's official season line.
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Share of shots |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rim | 44-66 | 67% | 20% |
| Short mid | 37-122 | 30% | 37% |
| Long mid | 17-34 | 50% | 10% |
| Corner 3 | 1-11 | 9% | 3% |
| Above-break 3 | 31-93 | 33% | 29% |
Zya Vann Oklahoma, SEC, 2025-26
34 starts in the SEC at Oklahoma: a .487 true shooting mark at 19.3% usage. 156 of her 326 tracked shots (48%) were midrange twos, made 54 times; she was 44 of 66 at the rim and 36 of 109 from three (33%). 3.0 steals per 40.
Discipline
The points a team gives away: fouls, the bonus, turnovers and free throws.
1 game so far. Season totals, then per-game rows as the season goes.
Fouls and the bonus
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4with OT | Per 100 poss. | Minutes other team in bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 19.7 | 2.1 |
| FDU | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 21.1 | 1.6 |
The 5th team foul of a quarter puts the other team in the bonus, two shots on every foul; fourth-quarter fouls carry into overtime. Fewer minutes in the bonus means fewer free trips handed over.
Turnovers
| Team | Live-ballstolen | Dead-ball | Per poss. | Points off them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 6 | 3 | 12.7% | 12 |
| FDU | 8 | 10 | 25.4% | 22 |
A live-ball turnover (a steal) usually becomes a fast break the other way; a dead-ball one lets the defense set up. "Points off them" are scored by the other team.
Ball security
Who turns it over, and how often against how many assists. A stolen (live-ball) turnover usually becomes a fast break the other way. Assist-to-turnover ratio matters most for the guards who run the offense; in the women's game about 1.5 is good, 2.0 and up is elite. Players under 100 minutes are marked as small samples.
| Player | Pos | Min | Ast | TO | Stolenlive-ball | Dead-ball | Ast/TO | Ast per 40 | TO per 40 | By gameAst-TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lizzy Spaight | G | 12 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.5 | 3.3 | 6.7 | FDU 1-2 |
| Addison Bjorn | G | 21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | FDU 0-1 |
| Zya Vann | G | 21 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 | FDU 1-1 |
| Jayda Clark | G | 26 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No TO | 3.1 | 0.0 | FDU 2-0 |
| Bryanna Preston | G | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No TO | 5.0 | 0.0 | FDU 3-0 |
| Grace Prenter | G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | FDU 0-0 |
| Amalia Holguin | G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0.0 | 0.0 | FDU 0-0 |
Free throws
Makes and attempts for every game, every player and the season. FTA per shot is free throw attempts for each field goal attempt: how often a player or team gets to the line.
By game
| Game | TexasFTM-FTA | FT% | FTA per shot | OpponentFTM-FTA | Opp FT% | Opp FTA per shot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, Nov 4 vs FDU | 12-14 | 85.7% | 0.19 | 3-7 | 42.9% | 0.13 |
| Season | 12-14 | 85.7% | 0.19 | 3-7 | 42.9% | 0.13 |
By player
| Player | SeasonFTM-FTA | FT% | FTA per 40 | FTA per shot | FDU |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isi Etute | 3-5 | 60.0% | 8.3 | 1.67 | 3-5 |
| Breya Cunningham | 4-4 | 100.0% | 5.5 | 0.29 | 4-4 |
| Madison Booker | 3-3 | 100.0% | 3.8 | 0.15 | 3-3 |
| Addison Bjorn | 2-2 | 100.0% | 3.8 | 0.33 | 2-2 |
| Jayda Clark | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0-0 |
| Bryanna Preston | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0-0 |
| Zya Vann | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0-0 |
| Lizzy Spaight | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0-0 |
| Grace Prenter | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0-0 |
| Lovisa Asbrink Hose | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0-0 |
| Amalia Holguin | 0-0 | – | 0.0 | – | 0-0 |
Fouls by player
| Player | Fouls | Minutes | Per 40 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breya Cunningham | 3 | 29 | 4.1 |
| Bryanna Preston | 3 | 24 | 5.0 |
| Lizzy Spaight | 3 | 12 | 10.0 |
| Addison Bjorn | 2 | 21 | 3.8 |
| Madison Booker | 1 | 32 | 1.3 |
| Jayda Clark | 1 | 26 | 1.5 |
| Grace Prenter | 1 | 6 | 6.7 |
| Isi Etute | 0 | 24 | 0.0 |
| Zya Vann | 0 | 21 | 0.0 |
| Lovisa Asbrink Hose | 0 | 4 | 0.0 |
| Amalia Holguin | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
Players
Every player on the roster. Roles come from the box score: Starter (started the last game), Rotation (played), Did not play. Tap a player for her full profile.
Madison Booker
- Hometown
- Ridgeland, MS
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Texas | 37 (37) | 30.8 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 45.7% | 30.6% |
| 2024-25 | Texas | 38 (38) | 31.3 | 16.3 | 6.6 | 2.7 | 46.4% | 40.3% |
| 2025-26 | Texas | 39 (39) | 32.4 | 18.9 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 50.8% | 28.4% |
Player ratings 2025-26 at Texas, 1264 minutes
Each rating puts a real number on a fixed scale set for women's Division I: 50 is a typical rotation player, 85 and up is elite. Guards naturally rate lower on rebounding and bigs on three-point shooting. See How to read this.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDUS | 32 | 24 | 10-20 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Last season · Texas
39 games (39 starts), 32.4 min a game. Per 40: 23.4 pts, 8.3 reb, 4.6 ast. 57.3% true shooting at 26.4% usage; 23-81 from three (28.4%); 129-152 at the line.
Breya Cunningham
- Hometown
- Chula Vista, CA
- Before Texas
- Arizona
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Arizona | 34 (32) | 21.3 | 7.7 | 4.7 | 0.6 | 51.7% | – |
| 2024-25 | Arizona | 32 (32) | 23.1 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 56.0% | – |
| 2025-26 | Texas | 39 (38) | 18.9 | 7.7 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 59.1% | – |
Player ratings 2025-26 at Texas, 737 minutes
Each rating puts a real number on a fixed scale set for women's Division I: 50 is a typical rotation player, 85 and up is elite. Guards naturally rate lower on rebounding and bigs on three-point shooting. See How to read this.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDUS | 29 | 21 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
Last season · Texas
39 games (38 starts), 18.9 min a game. Per 40: 16.3 pts, 11.8 reb, 0.6 ast. 59.0% true shooting at 18.4% usage; no threes; 29-57 at the line.
Jayda Clark
- Hometown
- Perth, Australia
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 college minutes. Until then, see her profile above.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDUS | 26 | 7 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
No college games before this season.
Bryanna Preston
- Hometown
- Jonesboro, GA
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Texas | 39 (0) | 12.8 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 47.4% | 20.0% |
| 2025-26 | Texas | 30 (0) | 14.3 | 4.9 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 54.1% | 44.4% |
Player ratings 2025-26 at Texas, 426 minutes
Each rating puts a real number on a fixed scale set for women's Division I: 50 is a typical rotation player, 85 and up is elite. Guards naturally rate lower on rebounding and bigs on three-point shooting. See How to read this.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDUS | 24 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Last season · Texas
30 games (0 starts), 14.2 min a game. Per 40: 13.9 pts, 3.2 reb, 6.4 ast. 57.2% true shooting at 16.5% usage; 4-9 from three (44.4%); 24-42 at the line.
Isi Etute
- Hometown
- Dudelange, Luxembourg
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 college minutes. Until then, see her profile above.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDU | 24 | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
No college games before this season.
Addison Bjorn
- Hometown
- Parkville, MO
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 college minutes. Until then, see her profile above.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDU | 21 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
No college games before this season.
Zya Vann
- Hometown
- Edmond, OK
- Before Texas
- Oklahoma
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Oklahoma | 35 (0) | 15.4 | 6.9 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 41.1% | 33.3% |
| 2025-26 | Oklahoma | 34 (34) | 27.6 | 10.4 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 40.5% | 33.0% |
Player ratings 2025-26 at Oklahoma, 939 minutes
Each rating puts a real number on a fixed scale set for women's Division I: 50 is a typical rotation player, 85 and up is elite. Guards naturally rate lower on rebounding and bigs on three-point shooting. See How to read this.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDUS | 21 | 7 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Last season · Oklahoma
34 games (34 starts), 27.6 min a game. Per 40: 15.1 pts, 6.1 reb, 3.3 ast. 48.7% true shooting at 19.3% usage; 36-109 from three (33.0%); 45-61 at the line.
Lizzy Spaight
- Hometown
- Las Vegas, NV
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 college minutes. Until then, see her profile above.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDU | 12 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
No college games before this season.
Grace Prenter
- Hometown
- Dublin, Ireland
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Texas | 15 (0) | 5.7 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 28.1% | 16.7% |
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 minutes of game data.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDU | 6 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Last season · Texas
15 games (0 starts), 5.7 min a game. Per 40: 9.8 pts, 4.2 reb, 2.3 ast. 31.9% true shooting at 20.3% usage; 2-12 from three (16.7%); 1-2 at the line.
Lovisa Asbrink Hose
- Hometown
- Stockholm, Sweden
- Before Texas
- Florida Atlantic
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Florida Atlantic | 22 (5) | 14.2 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 0.2 | 43.3% | 33.3% |
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 minutes of game data.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDU | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
No minutes last season.
Amalia Holguin
- Hometown
- West Covina, CA
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 college minutes. Until then, see her profile above.
This season, game by game
| Game | Min | Pts | FG | 3P | FT | Reb | Ast | TO | Stl | Blk | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs FDU | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
No college games before this season.
Sarah Graves
- Hometown
- Keller, TX
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | Texas | 1 (0) | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | – |
| 2023-24 | Texas | 2 (0) | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 66.7% | 66.7% |
| 2024-25 | Texas | 9 (0) | 2.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0% | – |
| 2025-26 | Texas | 21 (0) | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 50.0% | 30.8% |
Player ratings
Ratings arrive after 100 minutes of game data.
No minutes yet this season.
Last season · Texas
20 games (0 starts), 4.3 min a game. Per 40: 13.8 pts, 6.9 reb, 0.9 ast. 60.9% true shooting at 13.0% usage; 4-13 from three (30.8%); 4-6 at the line.
Jada Bediako
- Hometown
- Toronto, Canada
- Before Texas
- Georgia Tech, Marquette
College path
| Season | School | G (GS) | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | Georgia Tech | 9 (0) | 6.3 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 60.0% | – |
| 2024-25 | Marquette | 30 (3) | 10.2 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 37.3% | – |
| 2025-26 | Marquette | 26 (0) | 9.5 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 55.8% | – |
Player ratings 2025-26 at Marquette, 247 minutes
Each rating puts a real number on a fixed scale set for women's Division I: 50 is a typical rotation player, 85 and up is elite. Guards naturally rate lower on rebounding and bigs on three-point shooting. See How to read this.
No minutes yet this season.
Last season · Marquette
26 games (0 starts), 9.5 min a game. Per 40: 11 pts, 9.4 reb, 1.6 ast. 57.2% true shooting at 16.9% usage; no threes; 10-17 at the line.
How to read this
HomerProof is an independent, fan-built analytics hub. Every Texas possession is rebuilt from public play-by-play and checked against the box score before it is used.
The numbers we use
- Possession
- One trip down the floor, ending in a made shot, a defensive rebound, a turnover or the end of a period. An offensive rebound keeps the same possession going. Both teams get about the same number, so per-possession numbers compare fairly no matter how fast a game is played.
- Points per possession
- Points scored divided by possessions. About 0.90 is average in women's Division I; 1.05 and up is elite.
- The four factors
- Nearly every result comes down to four things, on both ends: shooting (effective field goal percentage), turnovers (turnovers per possession), rebounding (share of your own misses you get back) and free throws (attempts per shot). Shooting matters most, then turnovers, then rebounding, then free throws.
- Effective FG%
- Field goal percentage with a made three worth one and a half makes, because it is worth 50% more points.
- True shooting (TS%)
- One efficiency number for a scorer that counts twos, threes and free throws. About 51% is average in women's Division I; 58% and up is very good.
- Usage
- The share of her team's possessions a player finishes with a shot, free throws or a turnover while she is on the floor. 20% is a typical starter; 28% and up is a primary option.
- Offensive rebound rate
- The share of a team's own misses it rebounds. About a third is typical in the women's game.
- Zones
- Rim (under 4 feet), short midrange (4 to 14), long midrange (14 feet to the arc), corner three and above-the-break three. Rim shots and threes are the efficient ones.
- Garbage time
- Possessions once a game is out of reach: a margin over 25 with 10 or more minutes left, over 20 with under 10, over 15 under 5, over 10 under 2. "Competitive" numbers leave them out.
- The bonus
- In the women's game, a team's 5th foul of a quarter sends the other team to the line for two shots on every foul for the rest of the quarter, and fourth-quarter fouls carry into overtime. We count how many minutes each team spent with the other in the bonus.
- Player ratings
- Nine skills, each a real number placed on a fixed scale set for women's Division I, from 25 to 99: 50 is a typical rotation player and 85 and up is elite. Scoring is points per 40 minutes; efficiency is true shooting; three-point shooting needs 40 attempts and finishing 25 shots at the rim; playmaking is assist rate; ball security is turnovers per 40; rebounding is the share of available rebounds; getting to the line is free throw attempts per shot; defensive playmaking is steals plus blocks per 40. Ratings use this season once a player passes 100 minutes, and last season's college numbers until then. Freshmen get ratings after 100 college minutes. The women's scale is anchored to women's games: each men's anchor is scaled by how the two games compare on that measure (for example, true shooting averages about 51% in the women's games we track and 56% in the men's).
- Per 40
- A player's numbers scaled to 40 minutes, so a reserve and a starter compare fairly.
How we work
Every game is pulled the morning after it is played, rebuilt possession by possession, and checked against the official box score: points, shots, threes, free throws, turnovers, rebounds and minutes. A game that doesn't reconcile isn't used until it is fixed.
Scouting keys are written before tip-off and graded after the final, in public, whether they hit or miss.
Small samples are labeled. Early in the season one game is a first look, not a tendency.
No opinions, just data. No injury reports.